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Time and volatility Equivalence
Issued on October 26 2010 par Strategies Options
Time and Implied Volatility have the same effect on an option price.
I - A first equation
It's been shown that for small asset(S) movements, if V(S) is the value of an option for S as an asset level,
V(S1) - V(S0) = ∂V(S0)/∂S . ( S1 - S0 )
If,
Δ(S0) = ∂V(S0)/∂S is the delta for S = S0
dS = ( S1 - S0 ) is the asset variation
V(S1) - V(S0) = Δ(S0) . dS
One is able to be much more accurate incorporating the gamma
V(S1) - V(S0) = ∂V(S0)/∂S . ( S1 - S0 ) + 0.5 . ∂²V(S0)/∂S² . ( S1 - S0 )²
then if we note the gamma Γ(S0) calculated at S = S0
V(S1) - V(S0) = Δ(S0) . dS + 0.5 . Γ(S0) . (dS)²
If dV is the option value variation
dV = V(S1) - V(S0) = Δ(S0) . dS + 0.5 . Γ(S0) . (dS)²
dV = Δ . dS + 0.5 . Γ . (dS)²
That works out for a very short time period.
If we take into account the time
dV = Δ . dS + 0.5 . Γ . (dS)² + Θ . dt
where Θ is time decay during the period dt
II - A riskless portfolio Π
If we build a portfolio made of one option V and short Δ underlying,
That leads to : Π = V - Δ . S
For small time period dt and asset variations dS, this portfolio moves by dΠ and,
dΠ = dV - Δ . dS
But we know that dV = Δ . dS + 0.5 . Γ . (dS)² + Θ . dt
Hence,
dΠ = Δ . dS + 0.5 . Γ . (dS)² + Θ . dt - Δ . dS
dΠ = 0.5 . Γ . (dS)² + Θ . dt
We know that,
dS = S . σ . √dt
(dS)² = ( S . σ . √dt)² = S² . σ² . dt
Thus,
dΠ = 0.5 . Γ . (dS)² + Θ . dt = 0.5 . Γ . S² . σ² . dt + Θ . dt
dΠ = ( 0.5 . Γ . S² . σ² + Θ ) . dt
This porfolio is perfectly hedged. There is no risk. If there is no risk, it's a riskfree investment and it must have the same yield as for a cash account. If an interest rate r is paid for a cash account it must be paid for this portfolio too!
That leads to,
dΠ = r . Π . dt
and
dΠ = ( 0.5 . Γ . S² . σ² + Θ ) . dt
Thus
( 0.5 . Γ . S² . σ² + Θ ) = r . Π
( 0.5 . Γ . S² . σ² + Θ ) = r . ( V - Δ . S )
( 0.5 . Γ . S² . σ² + Θ ) = .r . V - r . Δ . S
If r<>0
V = Δ . S + ( 1/r ) . ( 0.5 . Γ . S² . σ² + Θ )
If r = 0
0.5 . Γ . S² . σ² = - Θ
This is the starting point of the Black & Scholes model.
For a delta hedged portfolio that is worth $1 and that is built with a long option and a short delta underlying position:
( 0.5 . Γ . S² . σ² + Θ ) = r
Next : Gamma Г And Vega υ Relationship
Previous : At The Money Forward Relationships 4
Relationships Between Option Sensitivities - INDEXRelationships Between Option Sensitivities - CHAPTER I
Relationships Between Option Sensitivities - CHAPTER II
Relationships Between Option Sensitivities - CHAPTER III Strategies Options
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